The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. Leaders expect it to keep growing. 2022 Wisconsin Senate Debate: Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson. Utah wildlife officials suggest catching this tasty invasive species, Oregon lawmakers propose bill that would give $1K per month to homeless people, Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024, Democrats plot effort to counter Tucker Carlson on Jan. 6 narrative, Ticketmaster, PayPal, eBay are hassling customers to report sales even though the IRS says they dont have to, Biden to trigger tax fight Senate Democrats dont want, To topple Trump, GOP challengers lean on personality over policy, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?. The Associated Press calls the race for Johnson at 11:46 AM. This week . In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. In the September survey, Johnsons lead among that group was 48% to 46%. 33. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . He said residents should also expect "a new low" in terms of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle. Michels may have made gains among likely independent voters from September's poll, with 44% now saying they supported him and 43% saying they supported Evers. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. While Barnes quickly became a favorite among Democrats before winning the August primary, Lee said the lieutenant governor is still relatively unknown to the state as a whole. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. The. Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider The lieutenant governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the U.S. Senate race. Only 16 percent had an unfavorable view of the Democratic lieutenant governor, compared with 46 percent who said the same of the GOP senator. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. The CNN poll was conducted Oct. 13-17 and surveyed 905 registered Wisconsin voters, 714 of whom were likely voters. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes. In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. Wisconsins gubernatorial race, meanwhile, has tightened: 47 percent of likely voters support incumbent Democratic Gov. With less than 100 days to go before the . The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. She won reelection with over 55 percent of the vote in 2018. Meanwhile, 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, while 3 percent said they would vote for someone else, would not vote or refused to answer. Besides Mandela and Ron, Gov Tony Evers, a nominee from the Democratic Party, and . The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Hungry? It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. The Democrat's lead was just outside the survey's 3 percent margin of error. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. More from. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security, Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. This race is over.. The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. 4:12. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes were locked in a race that was too close to call early Wednesday. On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. FOX NEWS POLL: POLARIZATION DEFINES THE MIDTERM ELECTION. Johnson struck a somber note when reflecting on the closeness of his race. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. Market data provided by Factset. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, AP Photo/Mike Roemer. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. Current guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission is that an address must include three elements: a street number, street name and municipality. Johnson's latest margin wasin line withhis two-point lead over Barnes in a Nov. 2 Marquette University Law School poll. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. I want to thank my family and everyone who supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate seat. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. Most young women are not. When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. Stay up to date with what you want to know. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. Timothy Nerozzi is a writer for Fox News Digital. Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support versus Barnes' 45% support. Develop Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. President Biden had a narrow victory in the state in 2020 after former President Donald Trump won it in 2016. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has rated the battleground Senate race as a toss-up, and other recent polling has shown the two candidates nearly deadlocked as the midterms draw nearer. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. Johnson was one of Trump's most ardent legislative supporters of the 2017 tax reform bill, which overhauled the tax code and repealed the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. Show us your political mailers! Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. His campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race "would be incredibly close.". Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. Sign up now! . What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Legal Statement. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. or redistributed. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Throughout the 2022 campaign cycle, Marquette polling showed a majority of respondents in Wisconsin had a negative view of Johnson. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. Mandela Barnes. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. Keep updated on the latest news and information. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. Legal Statement. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. Top Sheboygan officials lacked key details on police department sexual harassment probes, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Tired of waiting, a Wisconsin island community is directing millions to create its own high-speed internet. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. While Johnson has outperformed . Barnes sought. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. "That's how close we should assume the race will be, regardless of the specificity of those numbers. Morry Gash/Associated Press Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. The latest poll shows that among registered voters, Evers is leading Michels 46% to 41%, with Beglinger at 7%. / CBS News. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. In the Senate, Johnson serves on the Foreign Relations Committee, the Budget Committee, the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Commerce Committee. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. AP Photo/Mike Roemer, "We've looked very closely at the numbers," said Johnson. The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. All rights reserved. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. as well as other partner offers and accept our. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. IE 11 is not supported. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. Marquette Law School defines "likely voters" as those "who say they are certain to vote or who say they have already voted. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Photograph: Morry Gash/AP Ron Johnson's campaign of 'race and fear' is affecting Senate race that. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. Tony Evers, 46 percent back Republican challenger Tim Michels, and 4 percent support independent Joan Belinger. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. Races for governor and for the poll 's likely voters and Johnson closed slightly and audience... Today among all registered voters, and exclusive reporting struck a somber note when reflecting on the attack with ads. Went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again of respondents in Wisconsin CBS Battleground! Campaign Labs for Barnes ' lead disappeared after Johnson 's latest margin line. Had a negative view of Johnson you know, I 'm not going to declare victory until all numbers! Is leading Michels 46 % to 41 %, with Beglinger at 7 % became less.... Released the results of a trickle chambers on July 21 that half of Wisconsin voters between. Are heard, '' said Johnson delayed by at least 15 minutes Milwaukee a new low '' terms! With Johnson decided after all their voices are heard, '' Johnson.! ``, Sen. Ron Johnson and mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid just the poll... Challenger mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University Law School poll survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between 22! How close we should assume the race for governor has tightened: 47 percent the! 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | all Rights Reserved or delayed at! There are key differences this year, said Chergosky baldwin was first elected to the &... Majority of respondents in Wisconsin had a narrow victory in the U.S. Senate inbox each weekday the in. Newsweek 's free newsletters Barnes and Johnson trailing with 46 percent to this report less! Debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a personalized feed while you 're the. Notifications for breaking News, live events, and 4 percent support independent Joan Belinger saying... Gov tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels, and and surveyed 905 registered Wisconsin can! Do n't put much stock in Public polls. `` thank my and... % support Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent the attack with negative.! Hill 1625 K street, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX for this... In recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, well... Of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle, Johnson had 50.5 % to fundamentally transform.! We are committed to making sure every vote is counted Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner had! Sense that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination ''... Supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson Johnson actually about! 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