Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. Exit Polls Hawaii Updated 4:40 PM EST, Tue November 8, 2022 Sen. Brian E. Schatz is running for reelection in Hawaii. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens survived a member-versus-member primary in August likely the biggest obstacle to her reelection. Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the presidents agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. By comparison, 13% of respondents said they have an unfavorable opinion of Green, compared to 29% for Caldwell and 9% for Cayetano, Hawaiis former first lady. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2022, except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where governors serve two-year terms and will elect their governors in 2024 . Of those, 782 were Democratic primary voters, giving the representative poll a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Nov. 8, 2022, Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. Hawaii has not elected a non-incumbent Republican senator since 1959, its first federal election as a state. Mandela Barnes, delivering a critical victory for Republicans. In a filing Wednesday, Lake's Results Votes from: All State City Party Ethnicity Income Education Marital Status 708 total votes Last answered 4 weeks ago Total votes Keith Amemiya, a business executive, polls at 10% while Sherry Menor-McNamara, head of the Chamber of Commerce Hawaii, is at 7%. New York's 26th District. There are 10 candidates vying for the Republican nomination to challenge Mr. Schatz in November. Nov. 8, 2022, Senator Raphael Warnock is out with an early lead in Georgia, but it could all be just a mirage. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. The cash on hand is significant in that it allows me to reach out to voters statewide on the very serious issues facing Hawaii. Duke Aiona in the November general election.. Maximum of 2 consecutive full terms. In these midterms, New York is an unexpected battleground. David Ige. , Matt Cartwright, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Eighth Congressional District. And Cayetano got the most support from Maui. Republican Kevin Kiley is an odds-on favorite to win this new open seat. Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. This is going to be very challenging, based on what these poll results show.. #7-500 83 . Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press. Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. Were getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. As of Aug. 10, 234,000 ballots had already been returned, according to the Office of Elections. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. Ballots were expected to be cast largely by mail, since Hawaii moved to universal mail voting in 2019. We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. David Ige, who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. Hes still very popular.. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. Josh Green has always had high favorables, and they continue to be high even though hes been taking heat from his competitors over the last couple of months, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. . Nov. 9, 2022, While the race for Georgias senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governors race was decided last night. Georgia: Perdue vs. Ossoff. Historically, the selection of Saturday also helped the state find places to hold elections, according to Nedielyn Bueno, a voter service specialist with the Office of Elections. Nate Cohn , Republicans formally captured 218 House seats, a delayed yet consequential finish to the 2022 midterm elections. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. The Hawaii Polls separate survey of only Democratics who are likely to vote in the primary suggests there is ground to be gained for Cayetano and Caldwell. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. Stacey Abrams has conceded to Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia. The Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsed her in June, saying in a statement at the time, In Hawaii, Jill has led on affordable housing, education, womens reproductive freedom and gun violence prevention, and shell do the same in Congress.. In the last primary, almost 99 percent of Hawaii voters voted by mail. Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. Untold other Democratic voters may subscribe to analyst Moores theory that Greens efforts in helping guide Hawaii through the COVID-19 pandemic cemented his high approval ratings heading into the August primary election. Updated Aug. 16, 2022, 2:48 PM ET. Jill Tokuda campaigned in Kapolei, Hawaii, on Saturday. Hawaii is one of the nation's most reliably blue states, with Democrats dominating federal and . In the January Hawaii Poll, 58% of Democratic voters said they would pick Green if the primary were held at that time. Lt. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. David Ige of Hawaii cannot run for re-election because of term limits. Nov. 14, 2022, Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. Only 7% said they did not recognize Greens name, compared to 11% for Caldwell and 35% for Cayetano, suggesting she has to remind voters of who she is. Dont expect quick results in either race; officials in Alaska wont finish counting absentee ballots for about two weeks. , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. There are 10 candidates vying for the Republican nomination only one of whom, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. They both want Congress to codify the rights Roe v. Wade used to protect and to repeal the Hyde Amendment, which bans federal funding for most abortions. . Greens theoretical vote tally dipped from 58% in January to 55% in July. Josh Green high approval ratings and overwhelmingly said they will vote for him in his run to become Hawaiis next governor. Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles As you know, there is a not a short list of incidences that hes been involved in that are legally of concern, Blair said. Here are the main races well be watching. So why do most states hold their primary elections on Tuesdays? Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. Lazaro Gamio Alicia Parlapiano Democrats also won the Governors office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. Governor Josh Green, left, campaigning with his family Saturday in Honolulu. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. He holds a large lead in public polling. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. Seth Magaziner, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Rhode Islands Second Congressional District. She will be one of the nations first openly lesbian governors. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. That compares with $475,274 for Cayetano, whose contributions included a $350,000 loan she gave to her campaign. >> RELATED: Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, >> RELATED: Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows. These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. Read this story for free: Watch an ad or complete a survey, Undecided votes critical in tight race for lieutenant governor, Hawaii Poll reveals isle voters attitudes toward Ige, Blangiardi, Hawaii Real Estate Sales: December 27 December 31, 2021, Shut down Red Hill fuel facility, most Hawaii voters say. , Kim Schrier, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Washingtons Eighth Congressional District. There's a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. His approval rating fell below 50% only once, when Republican poll respondents gave him an approval rating of 47% on his handling of COVID-19. You're reading a premium story. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaii's next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval . Some 48% of Hawaii voters say they support Green. I typically dont offer analysis on solid races so I can spend more Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. What we expect this year The attention is focused on races for the governors office and a House seat. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. Tonight: follow live results and our forecast from Georgia as the final Senate seat in the 2022 midterm elections is decided. Maggie Astor Democrats launched a late ad campaign hitting Republican Eric Aadland, who is seeking to become first alphabetically in congressional history by last name. Senator Brian Schatz, a Democratic incumbent, is running for re-election and has no serious opposition in his primary. campaign launch", "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor", "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. Maggie Astor Nov. 9, 2022, With more counties nearly finished counting, things keep looking better for Lt. Gov. I want to bring people together.. , Abigail Spanberger, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Virginias Seventh Congressional District. The campaign has gained momentum, and I look forward to a competitive race.. Nov. 9, 2022, John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. Nov. 8, 2022, The Timess election forecast is now running. Vicky Cayetano said theres time for her to gain support before the first votes are cast. Nov. 8, 2022, In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. Mr. Tataii has not filed any campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission, nor had he spent any money on advertisements as of Aug. 11, according to the ad analytics firm AdImpact. Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. The polls overall margin for error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, but questions asked of only Democrat or Republican primary voters had larger margins of error. Ben Cayetanos her husband and did great stuff for the state, and I think she would be great for the state, Shinyame said. Alicia Parlapiano Hawaii Governor: Lt. Gov. View Hawaii's 2020 election results for US President, House of Representatives and other key races and ballot measures. , Gov. This goes back to polling place elections when typically schools were used as polling places and would be available on Election Day, Ms. Bueno said. , Senator Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire was re-elected, holding on to one of Democrats most vulnerable seats in a tight contest for Senate control. As of Aug. 10, about 234,000 ballots had already been returned, according to Hawaiis Office of Elections. Senator Brian Schatz is seeking a third term in Hawaii. Josh Green Wins Big In Democratic Primary By Kevin Dayton / August 13, 2022 Green will face Republican former Lt. Gov. With each debate appearance, Vicky has established herself as the clear choice between the status quo and a new vision to address our problems of affordable housing, cost of living, climate change, our children fleeing for the mainland.. Lauren Leatherby . In a Q. and A. with Honolulu Civil Beat, Mr. Schatz listed the rising cost of living as the most challenging issue facing Hawaii and said we need to make it more affordable for people to build a life here.. Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. Heres what the vote count could look like this year. J.D. Pre-registration is available beginning at age 16. Arizonas closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting. Maggie Astor We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. So I think Duke Aiona recognizes that as well. The incumbent, Representative Ed Case, faces only token opposition in the Democratic primary and is expected to defeat whomever Republicans nominate. Heres the state of the closest races: Nov. 8, 2022, The shift to the right has been dramatic among counties in Florida reporting nearly all their votes. , Raphael Warnock, Democrat, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. Christine Zhang Lazaro Gamio , The Hillbilly Elegy author and Republican J.D. The poll results were not a surprise as we know we have not been campaigning as the other candidates have, and at this point, we are pleased with our favorability ratings. . The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District. Fishermen find remains of missing man inside shark, Man arrested after search warrant executed at Waikiki cannabis kiosk, SD Senate committee defeats petition signature requirement bill, Two bills aimed at protecting landowners from over-intrusion by carbon pipeline builders died today in a senate committee, SD Republican lawmakers want to expand school choice, 'The Other Side of Paradise' with Lynn Kawano, KHNLPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KGMBPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KFVEPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KSIXPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KOGGPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246. In response to a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser, she emphasized the need for more federal funding for health care, education and housing in rural communities. The last time a Republican presidential candidate carried the state was 1984. Thats not what Kirk Caldwell does, Milner said. David Ige (D), who cannot run in 2022 because of term limits. Herschel Walker, Republican, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. On the Republican side, former Lt. Gov. Josh Green, Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. Green, a Kona emergency room doctor, has been the face of the states response to COVID-19 for nearly two years. His Republican challenger, Herschel Walker, is backed by Donald Trump. Nov. 8, 2022, Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. In an email statement to the Star-Advertiser, Aiona wrote: I am humbled by the results of the Star-Advertiser Poll. James R. "Duke" Aiona takes the win with 45.7% (37,406) votes, followed by retired MMA fighter BJ Penn with 24.1% (19,667) votes and Gary. North Carolina's 1st District. Read this story for free: Watch an ad or complete a survey, Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows, Misdemeanor probe into Honolulu police union leadership forwarded to state Attorney General, Hawaii Real Estate Sales: June 13 June 17, 2022. Honolulu, HI 96813 An updating average, accounting for each poll's quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean. Hes a great guy, they said.. The amendment preserved Saturday as the last day ballots could be cast. Green reported $1,125,877 in cash on hand as of Dec. 31. Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor. , Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 27th Congressional District. The polls just closed in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. Sections. The overall headline here is he (Green) does really well with everybody and even with Republicans, said political analyst Neal Milner. We are very happy with the support we continue to receive, and I am working hard to help Hawaii not only recover from the pandemic, but to build a stronger and healthier community as a result. Nov. 9, 2022, Alaska has competitive races for both the Senate and the House, neither of which is a straightforward Democrat-versus-Republican affair. All registered Hawaii voters are sent a mail ballot. Mail ballots are due by the close of polls on August 13. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Mr. Schatz, as the states lieutenant governor, was a rising political star in Hawaii when he was appointed to the Senate. Follow along after polls close. His approval ratings went up, in most cases, when poll participants were asked about his handling of COVID-19. Representative Tom Malinowski, a second-term incumbent, conceded his race for re-election to his Republican opponent, Tom Kean Jr. Incumbent David Ige defeated Andria Tupola, Jim Brewer, and Terrence Teruya in the general election for Governor of Hawaii on November 6, 2018. NYT Graphics likelihood, a Democratic will win in 2022. Nov. 10, 2022, In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. Runoff Elections. Hawaii Governor - 2018: Ige (D) +29.0 | 2014: Ige (D) +12.4 Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls A total of 800 registered Hawaii voters were interviewed statewide by landline telephone and cell phones. Follow along here Mr. Green, 52, a former state legislator and an emergency room doctor, was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. But his campaign suffered after he decided to rely on Hawaiis public funding system and then failed to file a document required to receive the money. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. Voters in Vermont decided in favor of including abortion protections in their state constitution. Officials can start processing and tabulating ballots up to 18 days before Election Day (ballots were mailed out in late July, and early, in-person voting was also available), but no results are released until the last person in line at a polling place has voted. There are seven Democratic candidates, the most prominent of whom are Lt. Gov. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. How he presents himself in the campaign is important, but people already like him. Enjoy this free story! The biggest topic of discussion in the campaign has been how to address the states housing crisis, which was exacerbated by wealthy remote workers moving from the mainland during the pandemic and has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. Nov. 9, 2022, Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. The Hawaii Poll was released just after Green and fellow Democratic gubernatorial candidates Vicky Cayetano and former Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell reported their latest fundraising figures. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. The map below shows how votes cast in this race compare with votes cast in the 2020 presidential election in the same area. Redistricting will change everything. Vance, the author and venture capitalist who is endorsed by Donald Trump, is competing with Representative Tim Ryan, a Democrat. Jill Tokuda wins a Democratic House primary in Hawaii. Our average includes all candidates that. Democratic Primary Winner Josh Green wins the Democratic. You're reading a premium story. Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevadas secretary of state. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. Green, who is an ER doctor on Hawaii Island, got the most support from Hawaii County. Polls close in Hawaii, and initial results could be reported soon. As vaccines were becoming widely available in the spring of 2021, a poll conducted by two Hawaii news organizations, Honolulu Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now, found that Mr. Green had a 63 percent approval rating. One of the tightest governors races in the country is between Gov. But the main focus of the Democratic primary was housing. (D) Josh Green. Under Hawaii law, a nonpartisan candidate must either receive at least ten percent of the vote for that office (32,729 votes for governor or 30,918 votes for lieutenant governor) or receive a vote "equal to or greater than the lowest vote received by the partisan candidate who was nominated" (37,608 votes for governor or 35,798 votes for lieutenant governor) to qualify for the general election ballot. Among Hawaiis four counties, Greens highest overall support comes from Hawaii County (71%), followed by Maui County (70%), Honolulu County (63%) and Kauai County (62%), the poll shows. California, Michigan, Kentucky and Montana also have abortion referendums on the ballot. . Midterms: Josh Green, Hawaiis Second-in-Command, Is Democrats. State of Hawaii. #HIGov #Hileg", "Kauai Mayor Derek Kawakami endorses Kirk Caldwell in governor's race", "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele gets key union backing, Lt. Gov. Colorados Third District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump, according to our estimates. Larak Briscoe, a 45-year-old cook from Kapolei, who participated in the poll, said he has a clear preference in who he wants to be Hawaiis next governor, a sentiment shared by his sister and brother-in-law. . fresh out of the oven. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. , David Schweikert, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Arizonas First Congressional District. The race has drawn more than a million dollars in outside spending, mostly on behalf of Mr. Branco. State officials will first publish the results of all mail ballots that were received before Election Day. Rep. Ted Budd of North Carolina, a Trump-backed conservative, beat Cheri Beasley, a Democrat, to capture retiring Senator Richard Burr's seat. Milner, the political analyst, however, said quitting a political race is not part of Caldwells DNA. Ballots are going to be mailed out in just a few weeks so theres not a lot of time to close this lead if Kai Kahele or Vicky Cayetano is going to do it.. that guide every prediction he makes. GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a real threat to his reelection. Hawaii Governor. Josh Green would easily defeat his two main Democratic primary opponents. All rights reserved. Pennsylvanias Senate race now leans Democratic, according to our estimates. , Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump. The primary was scheduled for August 13, 2022. Honolulu, HI 96813 After its voters turned out at the lowest rate of any state about 39 percent in the 2018 general election, lawmakers switched the state to universal mail voting. , Frank J. Mrvan, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Indianas First Congressional District. A lot of nations, especially advanced democracies, let voters go to the polls on weekends, when voting doesnt have to compete with work schedules. GOP starts boosting Walker in runoff amid calls to keep Trump away from Georgia, Maricopa County officials apologize for Arizona ballot reader issue, New Hampshires James Roesener is first trans man elected to a state legislature, Here are the Black candidates who made history on election night, Biden speaks with McCarthy as House control remains too early to call, So much relief: South Dakota voters pass Medicaid expansion, Counting in Nevada's Clark County continues after 56,900 mail ballots were received on Election Day, Eric Sorensen becomes first LGBTQ person elected to Congress from Illinois, Latino Republican voters are more progressive than white Republican voters on key issues, exit polls find, Alaska Senate race headed to ranked choice runoff, Schumer says Democrats are 'feeling good' about keeping majority after pundits 'missed it', Abortion rights advocates see a flurry of post-Roe victories in midterms. 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